ai-2030
Will it solve the energy crisis, add trillions to the global economy…or wipe out the human race?
Artificial Intelligence (AI) is taking over the world by storm. In fact, it has caused a sharp divide among the tech giants in Silicon Valley. Space X and Twitter owner Elon Musk has rubbished claims that AI is the 21st
Century game changer on matters of technology. On the hand, Microsoft magnate Bill Gates has pushed the adoption of AI in various realms of life claiming that its proper use will help curb cancer, climate change, and even stabilize the global economy.
The G7 leaders who met in Hiroshima (between 19th May-23rd May 2023) also recommended for a need to regulate the full integration of AI. In the United States, under the leadership of VP Kamala has pumped over 100 million dollars to help clamp down the AI use in key sectors of the economy such as health, education and security.
Let us find out the impact of AI and how the world will change by 2030. With the current steady use of AI in most developed countries, it might sound bizarre but true that it could be used in looking after our elderly, making films, and teaching lessons — or possibly wiping out the human race.
Generate entire films in a day
AI technology could become so good that it will start to generate entire films within a day, predicts the New York-based writer of the Apple TV Sci-fi series Silo Mr Howey. The generation of alpha versions of the art in a few years has grown tremendously with accurate approximations of photo-realism. One may not actually distinguish AI art from photography.
The same case for the film industry that it is just time that films may be created in real-time. One of the directors in the Avengers: Endgame film Joe Russo, who predicted last month that AI would be
able to make movies in a record two years.
Teach lessons
AI also has the potential to transform the education sector and tailor lesson plans to classes. Dr. Ajaz Ali, the head of business and computing at Ravensbourne University in London made the prediction. He said children could soon have their own personalized AI tutor who will deliver lessons tailored to the areas they are struggling with. This could even be done through augmented-reality glasses or robots, he suggested. AI-powered virtual tutors could be used to provide personalized feedback and support to students.
This will create AI-enabled virtual classrooms that will make learning more immersive and interactive. It is expected that AI could be used to complement current conventional teaching methods, rather than fully replacing teachers.
Currently, available AI platforms like ChatGPT can already generate lesson plans for teachers tailored to a specific class.
Boost world economy’s value by nearly a fifth
Experts also suggest that AI could boost the value of the world economy by $15.7trillion by 2030, or more than the value of India and China’s economies combined and up by a fifth compared to current levels.
The prediction was made by analysts working at ‘Big Four’ accountancy firm PwC, which is based in London.
They say this will be driven by the development of more enhanced and personalized products, which will trigger a consumer-driven boom. PwC said in a study published in January: ‘Our research also shows that 45% of total economic gains by 2030 will come from product enhancements, stimulating consumer demand.
This is because AI will drive greater product variety, with increased personalization, attractiveness, and affordability over time.
Solve the energy crisis
There are also suggestions that AI could help to solve the world’s energy crisis by 2030. The most recent energy crisis was sparked by a combination of Ukraine war, leading to blocks on fossil fuel imports from Russia, and the sudden surge in demand during the economic rebound after the Covid pandemic.
There is also a separate, ongoing energy crisis that seeks to gradually turn over energy production to renewable resources in order to limit global warming. Sam Altman, the founder of OpenAI, which developed ChatGPT and is based in San Francisco, California has said that by 2030 AI will have solved the
crisis.
In a series of Tweets in 2021, he said: ‘ The future can be so good that it’s hard for any of us to imagine.
‘My basic take on this is that we will have “unlimited” intelligence and energy, and all that will unlock. I think we will have these before this decade is out.’
He suggested that AI would do this by helping to develop nuclear fusion, a way of unlocking energy from atoms for use that does not produce long-lived nuclear waste. A meltdown at these facilities is also practically impossible.
Achieve human-like intelligence
Predictions also abound that AI could reach human-like intelligence by 2030. Among those making the warning is former Google engineer Ray Kurzweil, a renowned futurist who claims to have an 86 percent success rate on predictions.
While speaking at a Conference in Austin, Texas, in 2017, he said: ‘[The date] 2029 is the consistent date I have predicted for when an AI will pass a valid Turing test and therefore achieve human levels of intelligence.’
He had previously said that in 2014 computers would ‘ break even’ with humans, and be able to flirt, tell jokes and tell stories.
There are already mounting concerns that AI will lead to thousands of redundancies as companies start to use the technology to fill posts once staffed by people.
Professions, particularly at risk, include those working as paralegals, personal assistants and translators.
Predict medical problems
In healthcare, AI could predict problems before they happen by 2030, says AI expert Simon Bain, founder, and CEO of software company OmniIndex, based in San Jose, California.
Mr. Bain believes that the future of AI will be services built to answer specific needs. But he adds that these will be very different from the current AIs, such as ChatGPT.
Bain said: ‘ By 2030, AI could be predicting future healthcare problems via specialists using specialist tools.
‘ That’s because the future of AI will be services that directly answer our specific needs — quickly and easily. As in, we tell it what we want, and it gives it to us.’ He added: ‘ This future should NOT be based on the current mainstream generative AI (as in ChatGPT or Google’s Bard), as this is simply using tech to
regurgitate content and repurpose it. ‘ Why rip apart the Mona Lisa to create an unlimited number of similar yet “unique” portraits?
‘ While it might be fascinating and impressive and a fun profile picture, it is a waste. And it’s dangerous because it’s simply regurgitating the mistakes, prejudices, and limitations of our own historic content.’
Look after the elderly
Within the next decade, artificial intelligence could have assumed much of the role of looking after the elderly. Heather Delaney, the founder of a London-based PR firm targeting tech ventures Gallium Ventures, made the prediction while pointing to the emergence of care bots such as the ElliQ.
The robot — which looks like a desktop lamp — can help battle loneliness in older age and keep people up to date on their calendars.
It works by learning someone’s interests and desires and daily routine to establish when they are available to strike up a question or to proactively suggest activities that they might enjoy. It also reminds older people of their day-to-day schedule and when to take any medications, helping to ensure that
they don’t miss any.
Elderly homes will rely more on technology to monitor and assess the health and well-being of their community while those living in their own private homes will depend more on technology to maintain their home and keep them on track with health.
Over time, the technology is expected to develop beyond the $250 robot ElliQ currently available. Older people will also become more likely to accept it into their homes because they have grown up with technology, unlike swathes of the current generation that are more likely to steer clear of devices.
Flipside of AI-Wipe out the human race?
Amid suggestions that AI will improve our lives immeasurably, there are also experts warning that it could end the human race by 2030.
Among the doomsayers is American computer scientist Eliezer Yudkowsky who has bet $100 that the human race will be wiped out entirely by January 1, 2030. A renowned researcher at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute in Berkeley, California, is one of the most vocal experts to warn about AI.
Writing in Time earlier this year, he said: “If somebody builds a too-powerful AI, under present conditions, I expect that every single member of the human species and all biological life on Earth dies shortly thereafter.”
He says that AI could obliterate humanity if its intelligence surpasses humans, and that it then develops different values and goals for humans. Other leading experts saying that AI could ‘destroy civilization’ include billionaire.
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Elon Musk and British scientist Stephen Hawking — although they stop short of suggesting all humans will be wiped out by 2030.
Musk has been sounding the alarm over AI for years, warning just last month that it could destroy civilization — although suggesting it will not totally wipe out humans because we are an ‘ interesting’ part of the universe. He claimed that it would be more intelligent than humans by 2030.
Dr. Hawking previously warned that AI could ‘ take off on its own and re-design itself at an ever-increasing rate’ which humans, which are limited by biological evolution would struggle to keep up with.
Whichever path you ascribe to, AI is slowly but steadily taking root in our day to day lives particularly in the tech world.
